ENGINE feed pull just now · card build 7m ago · 2 checks today · score watch LIVE (1m ago)
01
TODAY’S BETS
chips under a game = who’s on each sideEnd 4thMLB
UPCOMINGMLB
BETATP
BETKBO
Finished today (8)
FINALMLB
FINALMLB
FINALMLB
FINALATP
FINALATP
FINALWTA
FINALWTA
FINALWTA
Best net units over the last 7 days · tap a capper for recent picks
🔥 hot streak · ❄️ cold (fade) · ⭐ proven (n≥60, edge holds) · u = units · small samples are noise · research only
03
CAPPERS CONSENSUS
LEAN = they agree · SPLIT = they don’t, we pass4cappers
LEAN DETMLB
3cappers
LEAN DIETRICHATP
3cappers
LEAN LOTTEKBO
2cappers
LEAN STLMLB
04
WHAT AI LIKES
engine reads every capper post + live state, then ranksEvening update: only DET vs KC (6:40 PM EDT) remains pre-game. POTD: DET -1.5 (Anders Picks proven-positive + Parlay Safari neutral). Cardinals ML stack live — STL leads ARI 2-0 in Middle 3rd. CLE/MIN and TOR/TB both Final.
DET -1.5 (run line)
6:40 PM EDT
-11553% chance (book’s number)
DET 1H -0.5 (F5 period run line)
6:40 PM EDT
-14559% chance (book’s number)
Feed check: 7 capper post(s) with stakes may not be reflected in this card yet (cappersforfree, ExclusiveCapper, Capperleaked, Rbssportsplays). Next digest cycle picks them up.
LIVE RE-GRADESgames went live — our engine re-checked each pick
——
A live price that moved means the market repriced real risk — not automatic value. Live books add delay and higher hold. Your eyes on the game decide.
What we passed on (40)
- Anders Picks: DET -1.5 — IN BEST_BETS (rank 1, POTD); new ledger rows appended this run
- Parlay Safari: DET -1.5 (2u) — IN BEST_BETS (rank 1 POTD co-signal); new ledger rows appended this run
- Midwestmike: DET 1H -0.5 -145 (5.8u) — IN BEST_BETS (rank 2); already in ledger rows 15-16; no new row
- Hammering Hank: STL ML (3u, -122) — IN LIVE_REGRADES (game in progress); already ledgered row 13
- Hammering Hank: Padres/Braves u8 (3u) — already final at digest time (ATL vs SD Final; total exceeded)
- Breaking Bank: STL vs ARI F5 U4.5 -146 — IN LIVE_REGRADES (game in progress)
- GamblingTailor: Cardinals ML (30u) — IN LIVE_REGRADES (game in progress)
- KingCap: Cardinals ML POD — IN LIVE_REGRADES (game in progress)
- Platinum locks: Cardinals ML (35u) — IN LIVE_REGRADES (game in progress)
- Picks 4 Dayzzz: Cardinals ML (1u) — IN LIVE_REGRADES (proven-negative; listed for transparency)
- OutofLineBets: KC +1.5 -107 (3u) — conflict, dominated side; thin-sample (n=46, -9.2u) on opposite run-line from proven-positive + neutral DET -1.5 consensus; dominance exception applied
- Dquan Picks: DET/KC over 8.5 (2u) — no dominant capper consensus on total; thin-sample (not in capper_weights.json); data lean noted in board_play footnote but not a board play
- Matthew P07: Melton outs prop — player prop, not tracked in today.json; informational context for DET vs KC matchup only
- OutlierDotBet: Melton under 1.5 ER (matchup of the day) — data source / informational; pitcher stat context; not a ledger pick
- AnalyticsCapper: ATL (Braves) -1.5 (-120) 10u — already final at digest time (ATL vs SD Final)
- AnalyticsCapper: Guardians ML (10u POTD) — already final at digest time (CLE vs MIN Final/12; MIN won 3-1 in 12th; loss)
- AnalyticsCapper: Blue Jays ML (10u) — already final at digest time (TOR vs TB Final)
- Porter Picks: Rays ML 4u (TOR vs TB) — already final at digest time (TOR vs TB Final); pre-game TB ML thesis decided
- Porter Picks: TB -1.5 (2u) — already final at digest time (TOR vs TB Final)
- Porter Picks: TB F5 ML (2u) — already final at digest time; TOR won F5 2-1 (loss)
- Porter Picks: TB F5 -0.5 (2u) — already final at digest time; TB trailed after 5 innings (loss)
- PropBetGuy: Taj Bradley (MIN) u17.5 outs +109 (1u) — game Final (CLE vs MIN Final/12); prop settled with game
- Tennis Winners Only: Martinez +4.5 games -130 (1u), Halys +3.5 games -122 (1u), Molcan +3 (2u), Udvardy +3.5 (1u) — all ATP/WTA already final at digest time; Martinez and Halys picked WON (ledger rows 1, 4)
- SetPointBets: Martinez +4.5 -130 (3u), Halys +3.5 -122 (3u), Molcan +3.5 (5u), Faria+Busta MLP (4u), Dietrich ML (2u) — all tennis already final at digest time; Martinez/Halys WON (rows 2, 5); Dietrich ML in ledger row 8 (pending/manual)
- Le Tennis Goat: Dietrich ML -133 (2u) — already ledgered (row 7, settle=manual); pending manual grade; all other tennis picks final at digest time
- Newmark: Etcheverry ML (2.5u), Martinez +1.5 Sets (2.5u) — all tennis already final at digest time
- Tail To Win: Bartunkova ML (1u), Baez ML (0.75u) — all tennis already final at digest time
- LearLocks: Prague tennis card (Beljek/Krejcikova ML 3u, Udvardy +3.5 1.5u, Jacquemot set parlay), Hamburg tennis — all tennis already final at digest time
- Kims Picks: Lotte Giants ML -145 (1.5u) — KBO not tracked in today.json; already ledgered row 10 (pending/manual)
- DirtyBubbleBets: Lotte Giants ML -145 (1u) — KBO not tracked in today.json; already ledgered row 11 (pending/manual)
- Thecappershub: relay/aggregator account — no independent signal; underlying cappers (Anders Picks, Parlay Safari, Picks 4 Dayzzz, Dquan Picks) counted via their primary accounts
- BetSheWins: Caitlin Clark u7.5 assists -125 (0.5u) — stale; posted 2026-07-22T23:02Z for July 22 WNBA game; 0 WNBA games today
- Scuzz: Cardinals 4u — stale; posted 2026-07-22T18:36Z for July 22 Cardinals game (not today's STL vs ARI)
- Empire Elite: Mariners F5 ML — stale; posted 2026-07-22T18:36Z; Mariners not on July 23 slate
- YourdailyCapper: Mariners 3u supermax — stale; posted 2026-07-22T18:36Z; not on July 23 slate
- LegitSoccerBets: FK Panevezys vs Tobol U2.25, Debrecen WIN, Aluminij DNB — sport not on tracked slate (soccer/European conference); first pick already live when posted
- Fredo: Inter Miami vs Chicago o3.5 Goals 3u — stale; posted 2026-07-22T15:40Z; July 22 MLS game
- MrBigBets: no qualifying pick in today's feed (ACTIVE paper-only per fade_gate_status; insufficient data)
- ThisGirlBetz: no qualifying pick in today's feed (ACTIVE paper-only per fade_gate_status; insufficient data)
- Underdog Sniper: no qualifying pick in today's feed (ACTIVE paper-only per fade_gate_status; insufficient data)
05
OUR CARD
what the board actually tracks — graded in public, losses includedWON
WON
PENDING
PENDING
PENDING
PENDING
PENDING
32W-22L
+9.56 units
Range -21.3% to +38.4% — sample still small (54 picks so far)
Still testing — not enough data to claim an edge.
Verdicts coming: fade check Aug 9 · signals check Sep 1
the science →
research only — we track everything and show the losses too
EV
TRACK RECORD
real ROI with confidence intervals — auditable+18.0% ROI over 69 graded picks · 25.34u
95% confidence: -8.1% to +41.4% NOT PROVEN YET
PorterPicks4W–1L n=5+53.4%-23.6%…+90.9%small n
Picks4Dayzzz6W–2L n=8+43.2%-28.4%…+90.9%small n
Hammering Hank3W–2L n=5-0.8%-74.0%…+89.8%small n
Every number above reproduces from ev_audit.jsonl (69 graded picks). ROI on a small sample is noise — “proven” needs n≥60 with the interval clear of zero. Research only, not investment advice.