ENGINE feed pull just now · card build 7.9h ago · 1 check today · score watch idle · arms 6:30p ET
01
TODAY’S BETS
chips under a game = who’s on each sideUPCOMINGMLB
UPCOMINGMLB
UPCOMINGMLB
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UPCOMINGMLB
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LIVE • BETWTA
BETKBO
LIVE • BETKBO
LIVE • BETATP
Finished today (5)
FINALATP
FINALATP
FINALWTA
FINALWTA
FINALWTA
Best net units over the last 7 days · tap a capper for recent picks
🔥 hot streak · ❄️ cold (fade) · ⭐ proven (n≥60, edge holds) · u = units · small samples are noise · research only
03
CAPPERS CONSENSUS
LEAN = they agree · SPLIT = they don’t, we pass2cappers
LEAN BEJLEKWTA
2cappers
LEAN DOOSANKBO
2cappers
LEAN KTKBO
2cappers
LEAN TIAGOATP
04
WHAT AI LIKES
engine reads every capper post + live state, then ranksNo AI play today
{'cappers': [], 'distinct_n': 0, 'top_units': None}
What we passed on (16)
- {'pick': 'Bublik ML', 'sport': 'atp', 'reason': 'BAND GATE: Only confirmed price is -165 (ThisGirlBetz, proven-negative capper). Outside -150..+150 hard gate. Newmark Tennis (3u) and Le Tennis Goat (~0.5u) are on Bublik ML but neither states odds — cannot confirm in-band. Additionally Newmark Tennis has negative career (-4.9u, 46.7%, n=45).'}
- {'pick': 'Darderi + Rublev MLP', 'sport': 'atp', 'reason': 'Odds unconfirmed from post. 2 cappers (Set Point Bets 10u + Newmark Tennis 3u) but both have negative career records. Cannot confirm in-band. MLP is a complex multi-leg market.'}
- {'pick': 'Samuel + Rehberg MLP', 'sport': 'atp', 'reason': 'Single capper (Set Point Bets 10u). Odds unconfirmed. Set Point Bets negative career (33.3%, -2.2u, n=6).'}
- {'pick': 'Blockx ML', 'sport': 'atp', 'reason': 'Single capper (Newmark Tennis 3u). Newmark Tennis negative career (-4.9u, 46.7%, n=45). Odds unconfirmed.'}
- {'pick': 'Tiago Torres ML', 'sport': 'atp', 'reason': 'Single capper (Set Point Bets 1u). Low units. Set Point Bets negative career. ML and +4.5 games are correlated — if taking Torres, prefer +4.5 at 4u.'}
- {'pick': 'Samsung Lions F5 -0.5 (KBO)', 'sport': 'kbo', 'reason': 'Bankroll Bill 1u only (minor units). Same capper as KT Wiz pick at half the units. Cannot justify two single-capper negative-career KBO picks; KT Wiz at 2u is the stronger call.'}
- {'pick': 'LG Twins -1.5 (KBO)', 'sport': 'kbo', 'reason': 'Kims Picks 1u only (low units vs their 3u Doosan play). Single capper, minor units.'}
- {'pick': 'NC Dinos/SSG u9.5 (KBO)', 'sport': 'kbo', 'reason': 'Kims Picks 1u only. Low units. Feed post truncated — full context unavailable.'}
- {'pick': 'ThisGirlBetz: Bublik -165 (ATP)', 'sport': 'atp', 'reason': 'BAND GATE: -165 outside hard -150..+150 limit. Capper proven-negative (w=0.5, 43.2%, -59.8u, n=192).'}
- {'pick': 'ThisGirlBetz: Gaston/Rublev MLP -160 (ATP)', 'sport': 'atp', 'reason': 'BAND GATE: -160 outside band. Proven-negative capper (w=0.5).'}
- {'pick': 'ThisGirlBetz: Badosa -155 (WTA)', 'sport': 'wta', 'reason': 'BAND GATE: -155 outside hard -150..+150 limit. Proven-negative capper (w=0.5).'}
- {'pick': 'ThisGirlBetz: Burruchaga +120 (ATP)', 'sport': 'atp', 'reason': 'PROVEN-NEGATIVE CAPPER (w=0.5): 43.2%, -59.8u over 192 picks. In-band (+120) but insufficient signal from proven-negative capper alone. DOG-BUCKET NOTE: +120 falls in the +120..+200 dog bucket (historically +11.83% ROI historical, FORWARD-GATED) — AJ may override if independently validated.'}
- {'pick': 'ThisGirlBetz: Oliynykova -120 (WTA)', 'sport': 'wta', 'reason': 'PROVEN-NEGATIVE CAPPER (w=0.5): 43.2%, -59.8u over 192 picks. In-band (-120) but insufficient signal from proven-negative capper alone. HOME NEAR-EVEN CAUTION (FORWARD-GATED): home ML -120..+120 historically -8.38% ROI.'}
- {'pick': 'Snigur/Bejlek MLP +140 (WTA)', 'sport': 'wta', 'reason': 'ThisGirlBetz 2u only (proven-negative, w=0.5). MLP market is complex. Overlaps with Bejlek -2.5 from Le Tennis Goat — prefer the cleaner set-spread from the stronger capper.'}
- {'pick': 'All July 23 MLB picks (stale)', 'sport': 'mlb', 'reason': 'STALE: Porter Picks Rays ML 4u, JB Tigers -1 5u, Bankroll Bill Blue Jays F5 ML 0.75u, GamblingTailor Cardinals ML 30u, AnalyticsCapper Braves -1.5 10u, Anders Picks Tigers -1.5 1u, Hammering Hank (Cardinals ML 3u + Rays ML 3u + Braves/SD u8 3u) — all posted for July 23 games. ESPN confirms all July 23 games Final.'}
- {'pick': 'MLB July 24 (all 15 games)', 'sport': 'mlb', 'reason': "NO CAPPER SIGNAL: Zero named cappers posted on any July 24 MLB game in today's feed. MIL -256, DET -303, STL -167, SF -172, LAD -156 are outside band. BAL -120 HOME NEAR-EVEN CAUTION (FORWARD-GATED). All 15 SPs unconfirmed."}
05
OUR CARD
what the board actually tracks — graded in public, losses includedPENDING
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32W-24L
+7.56 units
Range -21.3% to +38.4% — sample still small (56 picks so far)
Still testing — not enough data to claim an edge.
Verdicts coming: fade check Aug 9 · signals check Sep 1
the science →
research only — we track everything and show the losses too
EV
TRACK RECORD
real ROI with confidence intervals — auditable+15.5% ROI over 70 graded picks · 22.34u
95% confidence: -10.2% to +39.5% NOT PROVEN YET
PorterPicks4W–1L n=5+53.4%-23.6%…+90.9%small n
Picks4Dayzzz6W–2L n=8+43.2%-28.4%…+90.9%small n
Hammering Hank3W–3L n=6-15.7%-77.2%…+58.2%small n
Every number above reproduces from ev_audit.jsonl (70 graded picks). ROI on a small sample is noise — “proven” needs n≥60 with the interval clear of zero. Research only, not investment advice.