ENGINE feed pull just now · card build 28m ago · 5 checks today · score watch LIVE (1m ago)
01
TODAY’S BETS
chips under a game = who’s on each sideTop 8thMLB
Top 4thMLB
BETATP
BETKBO
Finished today (8)
FINALMLB
FINALMLB
FINALMLB
FINALATP
FINALATP
FINALWTA
FINALWTA
FINALWTA
Best net units over the last 7 days · tap a capper for recent picks
🔥 hot streak · ❄️ cold (fade) · ⭐ proven (n≥60, edge holds) · u = units · small samples are noise · research only
03
CAPPERS CONSENSUS
LEAN = they agree · SPLIT = they don’t, we pass4cappers
LEAN DETMLB
3cappers
LEAN DIETRICHATP
3cappers
LEAN LOTTEKBO
2cappers
LEAN STLMLB
04
WHAT AI LIKES
engine reads every capper post + live state, then ranksEvening digest (22:56 UTC): zero pre-game betting windows remain. ATL/SD, CLE/MIN, TOR/TB all Final. ARI @ STL in Top 6th (ARI 4, STL 2 — Cardinals ML state TURNED). KC @ DET just started (Top 1st, 0-0). No POTD issued.
No AI play today
All MLB games are in-play or final at digest run time (22:56 UTC): DET vs KC just started (Top 1st, 0-0); ARI @ STL in Top 6th (ARI 4, STL 2); ATL/SD, CLE/MIN, TOR/TB all Final. No pre-game pick exists to qualify for POTD.
Feed check: 4 capper post(s) with stakes may not be reflected in this card yet (ExclusiveCapper, Thecappershub, cappersforfree, Capperleaked). Next digest cycle picks them up.
LIVE RE-GRADESgames went live — our engine re-checked each pick
DET -1.5 (run line)STILL LIVE-PLAYABLE
Game just started; 0-0 in the 1st inning fully preserves the pre-game DET spread thesis. These rows are already in the ledger (Anders Picks + Parlay Safari + BOARD DET -1.5, from 22:10Z run — pending/auto).
DET -1 (run line, different line)STILL LIVE-PLAYABLE
Different line from the Anders/Parlay Safari -1.5 posts. Game is 0-0 Top 1st. JB's 5u claim is high conviction; thin-sample record is positive (n=26, +8.4u). Note: -1 and -1.5 are NOT the same market and cannot be merged into a single consensus count.
Royals +1.5 -107 (KC run line dog)STILL LIVE-PLAYABLE
Game 0-0 Top 1st — neutral state. +1.5 dog thesis fully intact. Conflicts with DET -1.5 (Anders Picks + Parlay Safari) and DET -1 (JB). AJ must pick a side; this card cannot hold both.
1H DET -0.5 (Midwestmike, F5 period)STILL LIVE-PLAYABLE
First-half (-0.5) period bet. 0-0 Top 1st is fully neutral. Already in ledger (Midwestmike DET 1H -0.5, row from prior run, pending/manual). CONTINGENCY: Randy Dobnak (DET) and Troy Melton (KC) must both start — Midwestmike ticket names both starters explicitly.
DET/KC Over 8.5STILL LIVE-PLAYABLE
0-0 Top 1st is neutral for the total. Single thin-sample capper — weak signal. OutlierDotBet notes Comerica Park is pitcher-friendly (22nd in run-scoring) and wind in from CF, which slightly argues against the over. Informational only.
ARI/STL F5 U4.5 -146 (Breaking Bank)EFFECTIVELY DECIDED
F5 (first 5 innings) has concluded as we are now in the Top 6th. A total of 6+ runs were scored through 5 innings, far exceeding the 4.5 target. F5 Under almost certainly lost. Manual settle — confirm exact 5-inning line score for final settlement.
A live price that moved means the market repriced real risk — not automatic value. Live books add delay and higher hold. Your eyes on the game decide.
What we passed on (22)
- ATL vs SD FINAL (ATL 6, SD 5) — all picks already final at digest time: JamesBets Braves -1.5 2u (lost — ATL won by 1), Parlay Safari Braves -1.5 2u (lost), Dquan Picks Braves -1.5 5u (lost), AnalyticsCapper Braves -1.5 (-120) 10u (lost), Midwestmike Braves -1½ (-125) (lost), Hammering Hank Padres/Braves U8 3u (lost — total 11 runs)
- CLE vs MIN FINAL (CLE 1, MIN 3, F/12) — all picks already final at digest time: AnalyticsCapper Guardians ML (-145) 10u POTD (lost), Dquan Picks Twins ML 2u (won), Picks4Dayzzz Twins ML 1u (won), PropBetGuy Taj Bradley (MIN) u17.5 outs +109 (game final — prop manual settle pending)
- TOR vs TB FINAL (TOR 3, TB 1) — all picks already final at digest time: Porter Picks Rays ML 4u (lost), Porter Picks Rays -1.5 2u (lost), Porter Picks Rays F5 ML 2u (lost), Porter Picks Rays F5 -0.5 2u (lost), Parlay Safari Rays ML 1.5u (lost), Picks4Dayzzz Rays ML 1u (lost), TheGuru Rays ML 1.5u (-110) (lost), TheGuru O8.5 1u (lost — total 4 runs), Hammering Hank Rays ML 3u (lost), Bankroll Bill Blue Jays F5 ML (-115) 0.75u (WON — TOR won 3-1), AnalyticsCapper Blue Jays ML (-105) 10u (WON)
- Picks4Dayzzz Braves+Tigers MLP (1u): already partially final — Braves leg dead (ATL won by 1, missed -1.5 cover if parlay required spread); parlay voided regardless as first leg resolved
- Cardinals ML (all cappers): STL ML +373 pre-game — OUTSIDE -150..+150 band; full disposition in live_regrades (state also TURNED, ARI leads 4-2 in 6th)
- Anders Picks Tigers ML 0.25u: DET ML -233 — OUTSIDE -150..+150 band; game live (Top 1st, 0-0)
- RBsSportsPlays Tennis Pedro Martinez +4.5 (2u): already final at digest time — ATP Estoril completed (izzybtizzy recap confirms 'Martinez got blown...')
- GamblingTailor Tennis Alex Michelsen o12.5 Games Won (10u): already final at digest time
- LearLocks Tennis Prague/Hamburg picks (Beljek/Krejcikova ML 3u, Udvardy +3.5 1.5u, Jacquemot set parlay, Faria ML, Bartunkova ML): already final at digest time
- cappers_daily Tennis consensus '3 Cappers' tags (Molcan +3.5, Martinez +4.5): already final at digest time — NOTE: LINE-EXACT CONSENSUS CHECK confirms SetPointBets had Martinez +4.5 and Tennis Winners Only had Martinez +4 (different line) — these are NOT the same market and cannot be merged into a 3-capper count on either line
- Le Tennis Goat tennis picks (Squire -2.5, Faria -4.5, Dietrich ML, Hanfmann ML, Gueymard ML, Bublik ML): all ATP tennis already final; Dietrich ML in ledger (row 7, pending/manual settle — not cancelled)
- SetPointBets tennis picks (Molcan +3.5, Halys +3.5, Martinez +4.5, Dietrich ML, Faria+Busta MLP): all already final; Dietrich ML in ledger (row 8, pending/manual)
- Kims Picks KBO picks (Lotte Giants ML, LG Twins/NC Dinos u9.5, Samsung Lions -1.5): KBO not on today's tracked slate; already ledgered rows 10-12 (pending/manual settle)
- DirtyBubbleBets KBO Lotte Giants ML (-145): KBO not tracked; already in ledger row 11 (pending/manual)
- BetSheWins WNBA Caitlin Clark u7.5 assists (0.5u, -125): WNBA not on today's slate (today.json: 0 WNBA games); posted 2026-07-22T23:02Z for July 22 game — stale
- PorterPicks CFL Edmonton Elks +4.5 (4u): CFL not tracked in system
- Hammering Hank 3M Open golf picks (outright winner bets): golf not tracked in system
- NOS_PICKS TENNIS BOARD 7/23 — TRUNCATED POST (text ends mid-sentence with 'Strongest consensus is'): tail picks unrecoverable; flag for pull-layer fix to expand post
- Matthew P07 player props (Ian Seymour u4.5 K, Troy Melton o17.5 outs): game live (DET vs KC, Top 1st, 0-0); CI-only source, no tape weight; informational context for DET vs KC matchup only — not a card pick
- OutlierDotBet MLB Research (Troy Melton u1.5 ER allowed): data/research post, no named capper with units — informational only
- Dquan Picks Tigers/Royals over 8.5 (2u): moved to live_regrades (game live, Top 1st, 0-0); thin-sample capper not in capper_weights.json
- T-1 archive (feed-2026-07-22.jsonl) cappers reviewed — picks posted July 22 for July 22 events: Scuzz (Cardinals), Empire Elite (Mariners F5 ML), YourdailyCapper (Mariners), Fredo (Inter Miami MLS), Newmark (tennis), Tail To Win (tennis), A11 Bets (KBO) — all stale (prior-day events completed); no July-23 events targeted from T-1 archive that are not yet final
05
OUR CARD
what the board actually tracks — graded in public, losses includedWON
WON
PENDING
PENDING
PENDING
PENDING
PENDING
32W-22L
+9.56 units
Range -21.3% to +38.4% — sample still small (54 picks so far)
Still testing — not enough data to claim an edge.
Verdicts coming: fade check Aug 9 · signals check Sep 1
the science →
research only — we track everything and show the losses too
EV
TRACK RECORD
real ROI with confidence intervals — auditable+18.0% ROI over 69 graded picks · 25.34u
95% confidence: -8.1% to +41.4% NOT PROVEN YET
PorterPicks4W–1L n=5+53.4%-23.6%…+90.9%small n
Picks4Dayzzz6W–2L n=8+43.2%-28.4%…+90.9%small n
Hammering Hank3W–2L n=5-0.8%-74.0%…+89.8%small n
Every number above reproduces from ev_audit.jsonl (69 graded picks). ROI on a small sample is noise — “proven” needs n≥60 with the interval clear of zero. Research only, not investment advice.